Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2662 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

UA 2662 · MCO → EWR

departs 6:10 PM ET · arrives 9:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±6 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from MCO are often late

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at MCO that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling3,833 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

EWR (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2662 · MCO → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?