UA 2756 · IAH → MCI

took off 9:30 PM CT · expected to land 10:52 PM CT (scheduled 8:14 PM CT → 10:19 PM CT)

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

99% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCI?

LIVE

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
80%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2756 · IAH → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?