UA 2756 · IAH → MCI

departs 8:17 PM CT · arrives 10:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip0.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2756 · IAH → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?