Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 768 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Today

UA 768 · ORD → DTW

departs 7:42 PM CT · arrives 10:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 768 · ORD → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?