Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 768 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

UA 768 · ORD → DTW

departs 7:40 PM CT · arrives 10:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 7pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling9,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling9,371 ft Visibility9.42857 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 768 · ORD → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?