tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 886 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 886 · EWR → LIM

departs 2:40 PM ET · arrives 9:45 PM -05
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Arrive at LIM more than 15 minutes late?
24% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LIM?

  1. On time or early
    75%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.