Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BAHAMASAIR · FLIGHT UP 230SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UP 230 · MIA → NAS
departs 7:58 PM ET · arrives 9:05 PM EDT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at NAS more than 15 minutes late?
14%chance · ±1 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to NAS?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.