WN 2915 · MDW → MCI

departs 2:27 PM CT · arrives 4:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Arrivals into MCI at that hour are often late

↓ MDW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2915 · MDW → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?