WN 3731 · TPA → CMH

departs 2:43 PM ET · arrives 5:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from TPA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3731 · TPA → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?