Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3731
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 3731 · TPA → CMH
departs 2:35 PM ET · arrives 4:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from TPA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at TPA that day
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CMH (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.