WN 3987 · DEN → LAX

departs 9:10 PM MT · arrives 10:41 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±13 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ 9pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3987 · DEN → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?