WN 4476 · BUR → LAS

departs 5:03 PM PT · arrives 6:15 PM PT

Your aircraft is N963WN (B737), coming in as WN 2363 from BNA: landed 4:36 PM PT.

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

Weather at each end

BUR (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling8,571 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4476 · BUR → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?