WN 4557 · DAL → MCO

took off 4:58 PM CT · landed 8:00 PM ET (scheduled 4:18 PM CT → 7:52 PM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MCO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.05 in

MCO (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4557 · DAL → MCO

Odds over time

How late did it get to MCO?