Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 504
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
WN 504 · BNA → CHS
departs 7:05 PM CT · arrives 9:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 27%
Sat 10/31 22%
Mon 11/2 29%
Tue 11/3 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at CHS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CHS?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 48% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
↓
CHS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CHS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.