Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1168
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
WS 1168 · YYC → PHX
departs 7:25 PM MDT · arrives 9:53 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 18%
Sat 10/31 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at YYC
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
YYC (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.