Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1168
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WS 1168 · YYC → PHX
departs 7:26 PM MDT · arrives 9:51 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 30%
Fri 10/30 18%
Sat 10/31 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at YYC that day
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
YYC (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.02 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.