Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1168
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
WS 1168 · YYC → PHX
departs 7:24 PM MDT · arrives 9:42 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 32%
Thu 10/29 31%
Fri 10/30 18%
Sat 10/31 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±0 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at YYC that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
YYC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,167 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.