AA 1313 · BNA → DFW

took off 6:43 PM CT · landed 8:12 PM CT (scheduled 6:08 PM CT → 8:19 PM CT)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from BNA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling7,600 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1313 · BNA → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?