tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1462 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1462 · JAX → CLT

departs 1:55 PM ET · arrives 3:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to CLT?

  1. On time or early
    75%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.