AA 1727 · CLT → JFK

departs 8:54 PM ET · arrives 11:00 PM ET

Your aircraft is N321VH (B38M), coming in as AA 1715 from PIT: landed 7:01 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1727 · CLT → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?