Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1951 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 5:14 PM PT (29 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

AA 1951 · SAN → PHX

departs 4:31 PM PT · arrives 5:57 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
83% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    17%
  2. 15–30 min late
    40%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    33%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    8%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.