AA 2014 · DFW → TUL

departs 8:46 PM CT · arrives 10:05 PM CT

Your aircraft is N817NN (B738), coming in as AA 310 from GRR: landed 7:13 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.06 in

TUL (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2014 · DFW → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?