AA 2025 · MIA → TYS

departs 8:55 PM ET · arrives 11:17 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8001N (A319), coming in as AA 2603 from JFK: landed 8:28 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

93% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TYS?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ 8pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ TYS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TYS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2025 · MIA → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?