AA 2090 · DFW → MIA

departs 8:21 PM CT · arrives 12:15 AM ET

Your aircraft is N572UW (A321), coming in as AA 1724 from BUF: landed 6:56 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.06 in

MIA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2090 · DFW → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?