Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2150 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

AA 2150 · DFW → XNA

departs 4:09 PM CT · arrives 5:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±2 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to XNA?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at XNA

↓ XNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,533 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.01 in

XNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2150 · DFW → XNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to XNA?