tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2389 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2389 · ORD → YYC

departs 10:13 AM CT · arrives 12:59 PM MDT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?
19% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to YYC?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.