AA 2794 · CLT → EWR

departs 8:06 PM ET · arrives 10:12 PM ET

Your aircraft is N908AA (A321), coming in as AA 1833 from SEA: landed 6:35 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ 8pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2794 · CLT → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?