tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3178 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AA 3178 · CLT → RDU

departs 9:23 PM ET · arrives 10:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.9d 2d 1d 12h 6h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to RDU?

  1. On time or early
    75%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.