Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3218 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

AA 3218 · BTV → CLT

departs 2:25 PM ET · arrives 4:45 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BTV

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

BTV (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3218 · BTV → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?