AA 3241 · BOS → MIA

departs 6:24 PM ET · arrives 9:54 PM ET

Your aircraft is N400AN (A21N), coming in as AA 1245 from PHX: landed 4:21 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts −16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at BOS that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3241 · BOS → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?