AA 3252 · MIA → SEA

departs 8:35 PM ET · arrives 12:07 AM PT

Your aircraft is N449AN (A21N), coming in as AA 1335 from UVF: landed 6:09 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3252 · MIA → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?