AA 3261 · MIA → ATL

departs 8:57 PM ET · arrives 11:08 PM ET

Your aircraft is N861NN (B738), coming in as AA 3266 from UVF: landed 7:07 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3261 · MIA → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?