AA 3318 · LAS → MIA

departs 1:41 PM PT · arrives 9:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from LAS are often late

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

MIA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3318 · LAS → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?