AA 425 · CLT → CHS

departs 8:42 PM ET · arrives 9:51 PM ET

Your aircraft is N843NN (B738), coming in as AA 2074 from PHL: landed 7:11 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts −26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at CHS that day

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

CHS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 425 · CLT → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?