AA 610 · DFW → LGA

departs 4:29 PM CT · arrives 8:58 PM ET

Your aircraft is N319VF (B38M), coming in as AA 1750 from CUN: landed 5:28 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 42% of the time recently

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,667 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.06 in

LGA (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 610 · DFW → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?