AA 775 · MIA → ORF

departs 9:14 PM ET · arrives 11:37 PM ET

Your aircraft is N987NN (B738), coming in as AA 1089 from BGI: landed 7:30 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORF?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ ORF usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORF (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility0.75 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 775 · MIA → ORF

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORF?