Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 863SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 863 · MBJ → CLT
departs 12:10 PM EST · arrives 4:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±1 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.