AF 93 · MIA → CDG

departs 11:41 PM ET · arrives 1:19 PM CET

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at CDG more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CDG?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CDG

↓ Arrivals into CDG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CDG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AF 93 · MIA → CDG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CDG?