Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 129
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
B6 129 · BQN → MCO
departs 8:54 PM AT · arrives 12:04 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/29 27%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 25%
Sun 11/1 32%
Mon 11/2 33%
Tue 11/3 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave BQN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at MCO that day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BQN (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.05 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.