Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2134
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
B6 2134 · SJU → MCO
departs 6:45 PM AT · arrives 10:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 45%
Thu 10/29 38%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 34%
Sun 11/1 39%
Mon 11/2 35%
Tue 11/3 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SJU that day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.