Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1140
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
DL 1140 · MCO → LAX
departs 5:19 PM ET · arrives 7:25 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 31%
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 21%
Tue 11/3 14%
Wed 11/4 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at MCO that day
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 3,833 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.