DL 1220 · DEN → MSP

left the gate 6:35 PM MT · taxiing (scheduled 6:32 PM MT → 9:34 PM CT)

Your aircraft is N121DZ (A321), coming in as DL 2431 from DTW: landed 5:13 PM MT.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1220 · DEN → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?