Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1689 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Friday, October 30 Yesterday

DL 1689 · DTW → SYR

took off 9:59 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 9:35 PM ET → 10:58 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SYR?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Arrivals into SYR at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,857 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SYR (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1689 · DTW → SYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to SYR?