Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1926
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
DL 1926 · LAX → LAS
departs 3:05 PM PT · arrives 4:15 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 41%
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 24%
Wed 11/4 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±5 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
3pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.