Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1926
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 1926 · LAX → LAS
departs 3:04 PM PT · arrives 4:14 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 47%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 64%
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 24%
Wed 11/4 19%
Thu 11/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↑
3pm departures from LAX are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.16 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.