Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2191
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Today
DL 2191 · SAN → MSP
departs 5:57 PM PT · arrives 11:26 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↓
This flight has been late 16% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.08 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.