Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2197 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Friday, October 30 Today

DL 2197 · LAX → SFO

took off 7:18 PM PT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 6:16 PM PT → 7:39 PM PT)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 50% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ DL's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

SFO (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2197 · LAX → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?