DL 2498 · ATL → EWR

departs 6:35 PM ET · arrives 8:54 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 42% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2498 · ATL → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?