Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2498
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 2498 · ATL → EWR
departs 6:35 PM ET · arrives 8:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 37%
Mon 11/2 38%
Tue 11/3 33%
Wed 11/4 28%
Thu 11/5 43%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↑
6pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.