Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2527
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Today
DL 2527 · ATL → EWR
departs 8:08 PM ET · arrives 10:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 31%
Mon 11/2 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 56% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 53% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.